Tonight, I was sitting on the front porch savouring a lippie and thinking!. Yep, THINKING!. and before we get the deluge of smart arse comments, ya can get get EFFED ya bunch of ferals.
BUT!, MR BIRMINGHAMS little post on Indo and the possible capping of the most wanted feral, when matched with my readings of FIASCO, the very beautiful dissection of the complete fuck up of the US occupation of IRAQ started the mind spinning over. At first is was simply, what are similarities of the terror issues within Indonesia and IRAQ, yes there are some, but the majority of issues are different.
Insurgency in IRAQ is in a place with little infrastructure, widespread population dissent and an influx of of external money for the terrorists or INSURGENTS. THERE ARE THE THREE KEYS. Money, a base from which to recruit and the creation of that BASE! due to a lack of political direction.
Indonesia is different for all those reasons I have mentioned. BUT THEN, i started to think about CHINA. Recent unrest, I mean, LARGE scale unrest and a base of peoples wanting not just reasonable living conditions, but another base of younger people who want more political and social freedoms well. THERE, right there is the beginning, then layer on top a violent crackdown. that starts to push otherwise undecided people into the former camps, adding a recruitment base, with this, comes some funds. Not massive funds I will grant you, but non the less, more money, but more importantly MORE PEOPLE.
THEN I thought, who would stand to benefit from this more so than just the poor bastards stuck there, THE U.S, hell maybe even a lot of other countries, certainly in the longer term, if you remove the trade issue with CHINA. What about TAIWAN?
Is there a point where external countries would consider lending support to internal dissents with the PRC, how and in what form is the question?.
Something I shall ponder over the coming days, I think an idea is forming here, not sure where it will go.